Is this “brexit” even a remotely probable event?
According to this article from the BBC, the latest polls indicate 40% of the British public would vote against the EU: http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32810887
But a lot can happen in the two years until the referendum.
(Hopefully this passes the test of being non-political ;)
That worked for about 4 posts…
As LeSving said it all depends on EASA membership.
I don’t recall whether it’s individual for EU countries or if it’s written as “EU countries”, the latter meaning UK would have to apply to EASA.
Then depending on this there are 2 outcomes :
- stay within EASA rule set = no change
- go for national rule set and then who knows…
Now things get interesting.
But nobody is going to jump off the cliff.
I think the UK leaving the EU will just drive home to airport managers that they should offer customs and immigration. Previously, the only relevant non-EU countries had very little GA which travelled outside their own country.
I wonder if I’ll be able to keep operating on my UK license a few years from now. I’d hate to have to put up with LBA.
A modest proposal: leave EASA, adapt and adopt the FARs into British law, and conclude a close bilateral relationship with the administrator of the world’s largest and safest general aviation fleet.
P.S. Who’d have thought that Scotland would be saved by Yorkshire and Sunderland?
leave EASA, adapt and adopt the FARs into British law,
That would be an absolute scream, and yes I agree
But it didn’t happen before EASA so it won’t happen now.
The UK has adopted EASA regs and it won’t unwind them just for the fun of it. What they might do is scrap the most stupid bits e.g.
Of course the bigger picture is that some other bits of the EU might come off…
This just popped up on the chat media
The name of this site would have to change. Maybe to EuroGe
Norway and Switzerland have been outside since the beginning, but we are a bit more pragmatic than the Brits. I really wonder how this is going to go forward. The first thing that will happen is Scotland breaking off, then Northern Ireland. Then the rest of UK will go “oops”, what have we done. This is the end of the UK for all the wrong reasons IMO.
The German dominance this will give inside EASA certainly cannot be good in any sort of way, so I hope
UK England does not break out of EASA also.
England cannot leave EASA as the national CAA no longer has the staff to operate as a regulator. I wouldn’t know if it has the inclination.
Guernsey and Jersey still have Civil Aviation Administrations, maybe we can tag on to theirs?