“3.14159years”
Pie in the sky.
Of course there will be a shortage of pilots in next 10 years but surely not in the next 2 years, somewhere between 3.14159years and 10years probably 
Some outlets still have the audacity to make such false claims and ruin people’s lives:
Aviation will need 27,000 new pilots in 2021 as shortage continues despite downturn
Unless airlines start providing free * to CPL/IR holders, there IS no pilot shortage going on!
It’s the other way actually. Pilots asked to give some [censored] extra on top of paying type rating, occ etc…
oh and you also need to buy the pool for ditching training 
@graham
You are a pilot, right?
Modern management has infiltrated the airlines since a few decades. They all fly a desk at best and have no clue. Save a penny today (to make their key account excel sheet look nice), costs millions later.
Give me some Simon Sinek type modern management, that’s an airline I‘d work for.
Some outlets still have the audacity to make such false claims and ruin people’s lives:
Aviation will need 27,000 new pilots in 2021 as shortage continues despite downturn
Unless airlines start providing free * to CPL/IR holders, there IS no pilot shortage going on!
“units of economic productivity”
The bigger the plane, the bigger the economic productivity?
I honestly don’t think that kind of analytical design has gone into it, and cannot see how (these days anyway) accidents happen frequently enough that their risk would determine pay and responsibilities.
I would say it’s just historic. The most senior pilots generally fly the biggest aeroplanes and get paid the most….. bigger boys = bigger toys.
In fact, once modern management gets its hands on an airline I doubt if individual pilots are viewed as anything other than identical units of economic productivity that can, should they depart for pastures new, be replaced by the next cab off the rank.
The only reason I can logically think of is that it’s a hangover from the early days of international aviation when long haul involved a lot of stops along the way and aviation was far less automated and standardised.
Back then, flying multiple sectors to get to Hong Kong was much more complex than doing a load of return flights to Paris – and therefore warranted more senior and experienced pilots, and more pay.
Today that isn’t the case (particularly with the way LoCos work their people) but it hasn’t been in senior pilots’ interests (who also are the union representatives) to change it.
